Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Intercity had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.22%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Intercity win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
-0.2) 
0.08) 
