SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Almeria |
41.99% ( -0.41) | 26.09% ( 0.09) | 31.92% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.67% ( -0.28) | 51.33% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( -0.25) | 73.15% ( 0.25) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( -0.33) | 24.21% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% ( -0.47) | 58.55% ( 0.47) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( 0.08) | 30.05% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( 0.09) | 66.18% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.92% |
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