SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 83.47%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
83.47% ( -0.44) | 10.36% ( 0.25) | 6.17% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.34% ( -0.58) | 21.66% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.57% ( -0.81) | 40.43% ( 0.81) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.29% ( -0.16) | 3.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.06% ( -0.52) | 15.94% ( 0.52) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.65% ( -0.01) | 42.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.26% ( -0.01) | 78.74% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Chaves |
| 3-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)7-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)6-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.45% Total : 83.47% | 1-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 10.36% | 1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 6.17% |
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