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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
FL

Chaves
0 - 1
Famalicao


Nogueira (51'), Correia (67'), Jo (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sa (45+2')
Chiquinho (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Porto
Saturday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Benfica
Sunday, May 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-2 Famalicao

With Chaves almost at the point of no return, they will have to throw caution to the wind in this contest. However, we feel Famalicao may net an early goal and successfully negotiate the remainder of the contest to secure the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
ChavesDrawFamalicao
25.95% (0.0040000000000013 0) 24.99% (0.0030000000000001 0) 49.06% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)49.94% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)71.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)33.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.42% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.38% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)52.79% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 25.95%
    Famalicao 49.06%
    Draw 24.99%
ChavesDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 25.95%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 10.94%
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.71%
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Porto
Saturday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Chaves
Monday, April 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-3 Portimonense
Sunday, April 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Chaves
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Benfica
Sunday, May 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-2 Portimonense
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-2 Famalicao
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Vizela
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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