SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Sheffield United |
43.8% ( 0.4) | 23.54% ( -0.09) | 32.65% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 62.08% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.37% ( 0.31) | 39.62% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.03% ( 0.32) | 61.97% ( -0.32) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% ( 0.29) | 18.44% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.39% ( 0.49) | 49.61% ( -0.49) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -0.03) | 23.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( -0.04) | 58.08% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.6% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.65% |
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