Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.91%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.14%) and 1-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Chesterfield
49.91% ( -0.06)	21.57% ( 0)	28.52% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 66.95% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.79% (

0.03)

32.21% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.19% (

0.03)

53.81% (

-0.03)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59% (

-0.01)

13.41% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.66% (

-0.02)

40.34% (

0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

0.05)

22.68% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.66% (

0.08)

56.34% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 49.91%

Chesterfield 28.52%

Draw 21.57%

Gateshead	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.91%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.57%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.51% 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.52%