SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 71.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Maidenhead United |
71.26% ( -0.22) | 16.24% ( 0.11) | 12.5% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.25% ( -0.28) | 30.75% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.91% ( -0.33) | 52.09% ( 0.32) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.37% ( -0.12) | 7.63% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.74% ( -0.29) | 27.25% ( 0.28) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( -0.03) | 36.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.42% ( -0.03) | 73.57% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 71.26% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 16.24% | 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 12.5% |
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