Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Cambridge United |
42.01% ( 0.25) | 26.97% ( 0.17) | 31.02% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 49.92% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.86% ( -0.8) | 55.14% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.61% ( -0.66) | 76.39% ( 0.66) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.08% ( -0.23) | 25.92% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.09% ( -0.32) | 60.91% ( 0.32) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.38% ( -0.7) | 32.62% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.84% ( -0.8) | 69.16% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.02% |
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