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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 38.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.97%) and 2-3 (4.68%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Colchester United |
38.51% ( 0.23) | 21.26% ( 0.01) | 40.23% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 72.43% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.25% ( -0.02) | 26.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.83% ( -0.03) | 47.17% ( 0.03) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( 0.08) | 15.22% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.13% ( 0.15) | 43.87% ( -0.15) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( -0.1) | 14.57% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.36% ( -0.19) | 42.63% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.11% Total : 38.51% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 40.23% |
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