Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
