All of the League Two contests on Saturday take place simultaneously, which means each side should feel a sense of urgency to earn a result.
Despite Crewe having 26 more points than their weekend opponents, they have looked undisciplined and unhinged defensively, sometimes against mediocre sides, while Colchester have been able to keep most of their recent matches close, and that consistency should help them in this decisive encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
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