Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
-1.75) 
0.3) 
