Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.02) 
