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Serie B | 1st Leg
May 21, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
C

Catanzaro
2 - 2
Cremonese

Biasci (51'), Brignola (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tsadjout (14'), Ciofani (50')
Vazquez (37'), Quagliata (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Catanzaro 4-2 Brescia
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 3-0 Cittadella
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Catanzaro 1-1 Cremonese

A 36-year wait for Serie A football has left Catanzaro fans desperate for a top-flight return, but having only shot up from the third tier last season, they may find the playoffs one step too far. Cremonese can come away from the Ceravolo with a draw for the second time this term, setting up a chance to win the tie on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawCremonese
31.11% (0.262 0.26) 25.3% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 43.58% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)
Both teams to score 55.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)48.28% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.57% (-0.178 -0.18)70.43% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (0.080000000000013 0.08)29.07% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (0.097999999999999 0.1)64.98% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)22.12% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (-0.36 -0.36)55.49% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 31.11%
    Cremonese 43.58%
    Draw 25.3%
CatanzaroDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.11%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.68% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Catanzaro 4-2 Brescia
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 1-3 Sampdoria
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Catanzaro
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 3-2 Venezia
Wednesday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 2-2 Catanzaro
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 0-0 Cremonese
Saturday, April 20 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 3-0 Cittadella
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Pisa
Wednesday, May 1 at 11.30am in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Cremonese
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 0-0 Cremonese
Saturday, April 20 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Ternana
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in Serie B


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