Both sides have been impressive during pre-season thus far, and we are expecting a close match on Tuesday in terms of the scoreline. Stoke, however, should be able to navigate their way to a win in their third friendly of the summer.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
