SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
42.53% ( 1.05) | 24.87% ( -0.12) | 32.61% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.18% ( 0.28) | 45.82% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% ( 0.27) | 68.13% ( -0.27) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( 0.62) | 21.56% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.36% ( 0.94) | 54.64% ( -0.94) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( -0.43) | 26.89% ( 0.43) |
