Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
44.88% ( 0.12) | 23.3% ( 0.01) | 31.82% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 62.59% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.2% ( -0.09) | 38.79% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.9% ( -0.09) | 61.1% ( 0.09) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% ( 0.01) | 17.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.71% ( 0.02) | 48.29% ( -0.02) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( -0.11) | 23.97% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% ( -0.16) | 58.21% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.91% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.82% |
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