SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.52%) and 3-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
40.16% ( 0.09) | 22.39% ( -0.01) | 37.44% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 67.76% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.28% ( 0.05) | 32.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.6% ( 0.05) | 54.39% ( -0.05) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( 0.05) | 17.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% ( 0.1) | 47.3% ( -0.1) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.01) | 18.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( -0.02) | 49.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.44% |
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