SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | West Ham United |
42.02% ( 0.12) | 24.52% ( 0.02) | 33.46% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.86% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.03% ( -0.13) | 43.97% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% ( -0.13) | 66.35% ( 0.13) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0) | 21.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% | 53.8% ( 0.01) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -0.14) | 25.48% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( -0.19) | 60.32% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.46% |
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