SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Darlington win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Harrogate Town |
28.44% ( 0.24) | 23.19% ( -0.07) | 48.37% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.89% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( 0.46) | 40.14% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.49% ( 0.48) | 62.51% ( -0.48) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( 0.4) | 26.78% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( 0.52) | 62.06% ( -0.53) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( 0.11) | 16.84% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.16% ( 0.2) | 46.84% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.44% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.2% Total : 48.37% |
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