With this game taking place in front of a passionate crowd, we expect a competitive encounter between these sides. However, that should only motivate Leeds to work harder to avoid a surprise defeat, leading us to predict a convincing away win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
-0.05) 
0.09) 
