Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
