Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Duren Merzenich win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hurth had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Duren Merzenich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Hurth win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Duren Merzenich would win this match.
