Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 74.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Real Union had a probability of 9.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Real Union win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.