Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
0.42) 
-0.11) 
