Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.1) 
