Eibar collected 46 points from 21 matches to finish the regular season with the second-best home record in the second tier, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to beat Oviedo at Ipurua for the second time this month.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
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