SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 46.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Espanyol |
46.54% ( 0.98) | 28.52% ( 0.05) | 24.94% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.78% ( -0.73) | 63.22% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.38% ( -0.53) | 82.62% ( 0.53) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( 0.16) | 27.33% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% ( 0.2) | 62.78% ( -0.2) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.99% ( -1.36) | 42.01% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.56% ( -1.2) | 78.44% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 14.89% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.94% |
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