Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.04) 
