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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
FL

Cagliari
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Deiola (64'), Mutandwa (85')
Sulemana (90+4'), Mina (90+2'), Sulemana (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonaventura (39'), Gonzalez (89'), Arthur (90+13' pen.)
Mandragora (44'), Biraghi (45+3'), Ranieri (45+2'), Bonaventura (71'), N'Zola (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Cagliari
Sunday, May 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Fiorentina

Cagliari playing at home almost always means goals at both ends of the field, and the added incentive of giving Ranieri the send-off he deserves will be an incredibly strong motivation for the Rossoblu to end the season on a high. Meanwhile, Fiorentina's exploits on the road often leave a lot to be desired, and as minds wander towards the Europa Conference League final, Ranieri's side can feel hopeful of stealing a point before the 72-year-old calls time on his illustrious career. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawFiorentina
26.13% (-0.13 -0.13) 26.08% (0.099 0.1) 47.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9% (-0.462 -0.46)54.1% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (-0.387 -0.39)75.52% (0.39500000000001 0.4)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.36 -0.36)35.85% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37% (-0.373 -0.37)72.63% (0.38000000000001 0.38)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (-0.173 -0.17)22.64% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.73% (-0.265 -0.27)56.27% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 26.13%
    Fiorentina 47.79%
    Draw 26.07%
CagliariDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.13%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.96% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Cagliari
Sunday, May 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 5-1 Cagliari
Saturday, May 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-2 Juventus
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Brugge
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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