Gillingham put in a good performance against a Millwall side that finished three points above Watford last season, and that leads us to believe this one will also end all square.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
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