Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 15.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.05) 
