Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
