Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Gimnastica Segoviana had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Gimnastica Segoviana win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.06) 
