Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 69.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.48%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
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