Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
