SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Real Valladolid |
28.62% ( -0.64) | 28.55% ( 0.36) | 42.83% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.41% ( -1.46) | 61.59% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.57% ( -1.09) | 81.43% ( 1.09) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.1% ( -1.31) | 37.9% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.33% ( -1.29) | 74.67% ( 1.29) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -0.55) | 28.5% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% ( -0.7) | 64.28% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.62% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.62% Total : 42.83% |
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