Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
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