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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
LC

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Lincoln

Sercombe (15' pen.)
Bonds (53'), Davies (75'), Harrop (86'), Long (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (40'), Draper (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-2 Lincoln City

With so much on the line for both teams this weekend it is likely to be quite a closely contested and cagey game, with neither team wanting to give too much of an advantage away. However, the strong run of form that Lincoln has displayed in the second half of the season should see them through here, with their quality likely being too much for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
25.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 47.95% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (0.012 0.01)23.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 25.75%
    Lincoln City 47.95%
    Draw 26.3%
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 47.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Exeter
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One


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