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League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
LNER Stadium
P

Lincoln
0 - 2
Portsmouth


House (39'), Taylor (42'), Erhahon (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Peart-Harris (81'), Lane (90+12')
Towler (37'), Mousinho (38'), Peart-Harris (39'), Lowery (57'), Moxon (70'), Sparkes (76'), Yengi (90+4'), Saydee (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Portsmouth

Having already secured promotion, Portsmouth have little to play for on the final day of the season, but they will still be keen to extend their unbeaten away run to 10 matches. After drawing three of their last five away games, we think that Pompey will do enough to dent Lincoln's playoff hopes by holding their hosts to a draw in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
33.18% (-0.157 -0.16) 27.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 39.31% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.36% (-0.168 -0.17)56.64% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-0.134 -0.13)77.61% (0.137 0.14)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)31.88% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.22 -0.22)68.33% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.012 -0.01)28.09% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)63.76% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 33.18%
    Portsmouth 39.31%
    Draw 27.5%
Lincoln CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.18%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-2 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One


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