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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
LC

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Lincoln


Rodrigues (63'), Browne (73'), McGuane (89'), Brannagan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mandroiu (47' pen.)
Mitchell (16'), Duffy (20'), O'Connor (49'), Taylor (74'), Mandroiu (79'), House (90+5'), Erhahon (90+6')
Duffy (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-0 Lincoln City

Oxford will be looking to do the league double over Lincoln, having run out 2-0 winners in the reverse match earlier this season, and we are backing the home side to secure all three points on Tuesday evening courtesy of the same scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
46.78% (0.10100000000001 0.1) 25.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 28.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (0.040000000000006 0.04)48.97% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.058999999999997 0.06)20.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (0.093999999999994 0.09)53.72% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)31.55% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)67.95% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.77%
    Lincoln City 28.11%
    Draw 25.11%
Oxford UnitedDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Fleetwood
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One


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