Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 73.41%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Highworth Town had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Highworth Town win it was 2-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
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