Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
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