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League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
ST

Walsall
2 - 1
Swindon

Faal (11'), Johnson (89')
Stirk (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-0 Swindon Town

Walsall need points for playoffs but are shaky at home recently. Swindon are in good form but terrible away. The hosts' home record might hold, earning them a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Walsall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Walsall.

Result
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
48.96% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 27.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (0.026000000000003 0.03)39.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)62.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)16.5% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)62.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 48.96%
    Swindon Town 27.99%
    Draw 23.05%
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Walsall
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-3 Walsall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Salford City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 5-0 Walsall
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Swindon
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Swindon
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Accrington
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two


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