SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 59.01%. A win for H&W Welders had a probability of 21.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest H&W Welders win was 2-1 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| H&W Welders | Draw | Glenavon |
21.65% ( 0.13) | 19.33% ( 0) | 59.01% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 67.54% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.74% ( 0.18) | 28.26% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.22) | 49.06% ( -0.22) |
| H&W Welders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( 0.21) | 25.27% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( 0.29) | 60.03% ( -0.29) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.38% ( 0.02) | 9.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.86% ( 0.05) | 32.14% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| H&W Welders | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 21.65% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.34% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.19% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.96% 0-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.05% Total : 59.01% |
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