Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Ards had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Ards win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.