SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
45.79% ( 0) | 22.06% ( 0) | 32.15% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 67.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.48% ( -0.01) | 32.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.83% ( -0.01) | 54.17% ( 0.02) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( -0) | 14.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.76% ( -0.01) | 43.24% ( 0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.01) | 20.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% ( -0.01) | 53.41% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-1 @ 4.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.15% |
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