SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Dollingstown had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.54%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Dollingstown win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dollingstown | Draw | Glenavon |
26.43% ( 0.11) | 20.4% ( -0) | 53.18% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 69.57% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.92% ( 0.11) | 28.08% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.15% ( 0.13) | 48.85% ( -0.13) |
| Dollingstown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( 0.12) | 21.81% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( 0.19) | 55.02% ( -0.19) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.97% ( 0.01) | 11.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.66% ( 0.02) | 35.35% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dollingstown | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.18% |
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