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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
S

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Stevenage

Brannagan (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Long (32' og.)
Vancooten (10'), Guinness-Walker (71'), Smith (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Stevenage

Although Oxford experienced a disappointing result on Tuesday, we think that they will bounce back to claim all three points in Friday's clash against a Stevenage side who could be downbeat following a run of poor form and Evans's recent departure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
43.98%24.66%31.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64%45.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31%67.69% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29%20.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69%53.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05%62.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.98%
    Stevenage 31.36%
    Draw 24.66%
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.11%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Fleetwood
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Stevenage
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Bolton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One


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