Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
